TOTAL VOLUME:
$26.9b
24H VOL:
$53,643,865
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,362,287,844
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,063,853,505
56,734
Markets across
1,194
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
96
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
53%
VS.
Kalshi:
47%
No migration in 2026
- Predict
No migration in 2026 - Predict
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Jan 1, 2027
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This market tracks whether Polymarket will migrate its core product to a blockchain other than Polygon during 2026. On Predict, the leading outcome—that Polymarket will migrate to a new chain—stands at 44.9%, while the probability that no migration occurs in 2026 is 42.5%. Resolution will be determined by official announcements from Polymarket leadership, confirmed by at least one non-test trade on the destination blockchain. Watch for Polymarket's official migration announcement via press release or social media, as the resolution window closes on December 31st, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
Why: This is a market to determine the blockchain where the core Polymarket product will reside after it migrates. Polymarket has stated their intention to migrate to a chain other than Polygon in the past. This market will resolve according to the blockchain where the main Polymarket product migrates to in 2026. In order for a blockchain to qualify as the chain where Polymarket migrates to, three requirements are necessary: 1. Polymarket officially announces the migration is live (via a press release or X post by either Shayne Coplan or the official Polymarket Twitter account). 2. At least one non-test trade from the main Polymarket product happens on the new blockchain. 3. The L1 blockchain under which it operates must not be Polygon. "New Polymarket Chain" means a blockchain, rollup, appchain, L2, L3, or similar execution environment that previous to the Polymarket migration has not operated in production or been publicly announced for future release. If Polymarket announces a migration to multiple chains at the same time, this market will resolve to the chain Polymarket designates as the primary chain. If no primary chain is designated, it will resolve to the blockchain where the majority of transactions are settled over the first week after its launch. If Polymarket moves to an existing L2, L3, rollup, appchain, subchain, or similar execution environment that is not listed as an outcome and does not qualify as a New Polymarket Chain, this market will resolve to its parent chain if that parent chain is listed as an outcome. If no parent chain listed as an outcome applies, this market will resolve to “Other blockchain”. Some examples to illustrate how this market would resolve under different circumstances: - Existing subchain of Avalanche: this market would resolve to “Avalanche”. - New subchain in Avalanche that didn’t exist prior to the migration: this market would resolve to “New Polymarket chain” - Test trades without announcement: Test trades happen on the new chain but Polymarket doesn’t explicitly announce the migration is live before 2027. In this case, the market would resolve as “No migration in 2026” since this is one of the three requirements. If Polymarket does not migrate to a blockchain other than Polygon before December 31st 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No migration in 2026”.