TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.6b

24H VOL:

$116,649,581

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,625,723,678

80,271

Markets across

1,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

138

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

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What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
polymarket
kalshi

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

Total volume:
$14,220,590
Volume 24h:
$2,128,529
314%
Liquidity:
$2,120,214
30%
Open interest:
$1,049,244
8%

↓ 77,500

 - Polymarket

↓ 77,500 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 1, 2026

Time left: 04d:15h:48m

Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?

38%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 38¢ buys you 263 shares | Odds: 38% Total Payout: $263 | Net Profit: $163 Multiplier: 2.63x | ROI: 163% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↓ 77,500

Trade
38%
2%
Yes 38¢No 63¢
1¢
$79,544
$806,693
10%
N/A
N/A
4d 15h 48m
active
polymarket

↑ 82,500

Trade
36%
18%
Yes 37¢No 65¢
2¢
$57,646
$167,600
69%
N/A
N/A
4d 15h 48m
active
polymarket

↓ 75,000

Trade
11%
4%
Yes 11¢No 90¢
1¢
$94,727
$576,864
14%
N/A
N/A
4d 15h 48m
active
polymarket

↑ 85,000

Trade
10%
11%
Yes 10¢No 91¢
1¢
$81,992
$569,760
12%
N/A
N/A
4d 15h 48m
active
polymarket

↓ 72,500

Trade
4%
Yes 4.5¢No 95.6¢
0.1¢
$95,316
$431,835
12%
N/A
N/A
4d 15h 48m
active
kalshi

Above $87,500.00

Trade
5%
4%
Yes 5¢No 97¢
2¢
N/A
$476,238
12%
N/A
$218,504
4d 15h 48m
active
polymarket

↑ 87,500

Trade
4%
Yes 3.7¢No 96.4¢
0.1¢
$136,610
$1,080,658
8%
N/A
N/A
4d 15h 48m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4.1%
Yes 4.4¢No 96.7¢
Avg: 1.1¢Max: 2¢
kalshi

Above $90,000.00

Trade
4%
2%
Yes 4¢No 98¢
2¢
N/A
$524,168
5%
N/A
$255,309
4d 15h 48m
active
polymarket

↑ 90,000

Trade
2%
1%
Yes 2.1¢No 98¢
0.1¢
$123,370
$769,465
12%
N/A
N/A
4d 15h 48m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2.8%
Yes 3.1¢No 98¢
Avg: 1.1¢Max: 2¢
polymarket

↓ 70,000

Trade
2%
Yes 2.4¢No 97.7¢
0.1¢
$116,275
$440,745
8%
N/A
N/A
4d 15h 48m
active
kalshi

Above $92,500.00

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$406,205
5%
N/A
$215,505
4d 15h 48m
active
polymarket

↑ 92,500

Trade
1%
Yes 1.3¢No 98.8¢
0.1¢
$98,233
$610,267
6%
N/A
N/A
4d 15h 48m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.5%
Yes 1.7¢No 98.9¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Above $95,000.00

Trade
3%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$175,215
3%
N/A
$109,200
4d 15h 48m
active
polymarket

↑ 95,000

Trade
1%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.4¢
0.1¢
$94,409
$420,955
1%
N/A
N/A
4d 15h 48m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.3%
Yes 1.4¢No 99.2¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

↓ 67,500

Trade
1%
Yes 1.1¢No 99¢
0.1¢
$174,776
$409,736
11%
N/A
N/A
4d 15h 48m
active
kalshi

Above $97,500.00

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$165,836
0.25%
N/A
$116,256
4d 15h 48m
active
polymarket

↑ 97,500

Trade
0%
1%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
0.1¢
$124,426
$379,538
9%
N/A
N/A
4d 15h 48m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.9%
Yes 1.2¢No 99.9¢
Avg: 1.1¢Max: 2¢
polymarket

↓ 65,000

Trade
1%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.2¢
0.1¢
$84,229
$654,948
2%
N/A
N/A
4d 15h 48m
active
kalshi

Above $100,000.00

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$124,380
0%
N/A
$68,054
4d 15h 48m
active
polymarket

↑ 100,000

Trade
0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
0.1¢
$137,963
$500,658
4%
N/A
N/A
4d 15h 48m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.5%
Yes 1.2¢No 99.9¢
Avg: 1.1¢Max: 2¢
kalshi

Above $102,500.00

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$95,690
2%
N/A
$61,153
4d 15h 48m
active
polymarket

↑ 102,500

Trade
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
0.1¢
$137,431
$429,397
5%
N/A
N/A
4d 15h 48m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.4%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.9¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

↑ 105,000

Trade
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
0.1¢
$128,356
$730,882
2%
N/A
N/A
4d 15h 48m
active
polymarket

↓ 60,000

Trade
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
0.1¢
$102,190
$634,112
6%
N/A
N/A
4d 15h 48m
active
polymarket

↓ 62,500

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$116,985
$702,245
9%
N/A
N/A
4d 15h 48m
active
Total markets: 25 of 49

Description

This group of markets asks whether Bitcoin will reach or fall to specific price levels during the month of October. Markets cover both upside targets (reaching a certain price) and downside targets (dipping to a certain price).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets have a resolution date of October 31, 2026, while Polymarket markets resolve based on October of the current year. This makes the Kalshi markets fundamentally unresolvable.Hero tip: Avoid trading Kalshi markets in this group due to the incorrect resolution date. Focus exclusively on Polymarket, understanding its 1-minute candle resolution criteria.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves 'Yes' if any 1-minute Binance BTC/USDT candle in October has a High >= target price (for upside) or Low <= target price (for downside). Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT.
  • Kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if the price of BTC is ever above a certain level through 11:59 PM ET on October 31, 2026. This date is likely an error.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

Kalshi

All markets resolve to Yes if, at any minute between issuance and 11:59 PM ET on October 31, 2026, the trimmed mean price of Bitcoin exceeds the respective threshold. The trimmed mean calculation removes the top 20% and bottom 20% of minute-by-minute price data before averaging the remaining values, mitigating the impact of extreme volatility. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, all affected markets resolve to No. The measurement period begins at issuance and continues through the expiration time, with the exchange specifying the exact Bitcoin version or ticker being tracked.