TOTAL VOLUME:
$26.9b
24H VOL:
$53,643,865
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,362,287,844
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,063,853,505
56,734
Markets across
1,194
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
96
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
53%
VS.
Kalshi:
47%
Gulf of America
- Kalshi
Gulf of America - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Sep 1, 2026
Time left: 05d:04h:15m
Will Trump say "Gulf of America" before Sep 1, 2026?
$
Description
This event tracks whether Donald Trump will mention specific phrases or topics in his public statements before a set date. It focuses on direct quotes from Trump in speeches, social media posts, or published interviews, excluding official documents or policy actions.
Kalshi
The event consists of 31 individual markets, each centered on whether Donald Trump states a specific phrase or topic—such as "Greenland," "Zohran / Mamdani," or "Space Force"—before September 1, 2026. Each market resolves to "Yes" if Trump uses the exact phrase, or its plural/possessive form, in public statements, direct quotes from source agencies, or on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social). Official acts such as executive orders or signed bills do not qualify. The criteria require precise usage of the specified terms, with allowances for plural or possessive forms but not grammatical or tense variations. Phrases with slashes (e.g., "Fat shot / Ozempic") are treated such that either word satisfies the condition. If a market specifies a minimum number of utterances, all instances must occur after the market's issuance. The resolution hinges solely on Trump's public verbal or written expressions, making media coverage or third-party interpretations irrelevant to the outcome.
