TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.6b

24H VOL:

$113,284,831

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,858,735,640

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,620,345,032

79,029

Markets across

1,359

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

138

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

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When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
kalshi

When will Apple release the iPhone 18?

Dec 30, 2025, 10:00 PM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$5,193,073
Volume 24h:
$3,536,686
5,197%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$2,071,634
0.02%

Before April 2027

 - Kalshi

Before April 2027 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Apr 1, 2027?

82%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 85¢ buys you 118 shares | Odds: 82% Total Payout: $118 | Net Profit: $18 Multiplier: 1.18x | ROI: 18% | APY: 146% 66 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Before April 2027

Trade
82%
Yes 85¢No 18¢
3¢
N/A
$18,772
0.23%
N/A
$6,415
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

Before March 2027

Trade
13%
4%
Yes 15¢No 87¢
2¢
N/A
$55,101
0.27%
N/A
$27,052
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

Before 2027

Trade
3%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
N/A
$1,494,543
0.12%
N/A
$348,464
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

Before February 2027

Trade
3%
Yes 5¢No 97¢
2¢
N/A
$66,176
0.54%
N/A
$34,232
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

Before October

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,534,404
N/A
N/A
$1,641,046
2mo 6d
No
kalshi

Before July

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,076
N/A
N/A
$14,427
2mo 6d
No
Total markets: 6

Description

Apple typically releases new iPhone models annually, usually in September. This market tracks the release timing of the iPhone 18 to the general public. Release means the device becomes available for consumer purchase, not just announcement or pre-order.

Kalshi

If Apple Inc. releases iPhone 18 to the public before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Apple Inc. releases iPhone 18 to the public before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Apple Inc. releases iPhone 18 to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.