TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

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When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
kalshi

When will Apple release the iPhone 18?

Dec 30, 2025, 10:00 PM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$2,144,664
Volume 24h:
$108,958
19%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$942,135
5%

Before March 2027

 - Kalshi

Before March 2027 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Mar 1, 2027?

38%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 39¢ buys you 256 shares | Odds: 38% Total Payout: $256 | Net Profit: $156 Multiplier: 2.56x | ROI: 156% High Projected APY: 1,397% 127 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Before March 2027

Trade
38%
Yes 39¢No 94¢
33¢
N/A
$42
0%
N/A
$42
4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Before April 2027

Trade
20%
Yes 87¢No 84¢
71¢
N/A
$132
0%
N/A
$75
4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Before February 2027

Trade
9%
Yes 8¢No 96¢
4¢
N/A
$590
1,152%
N/A
$573
4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Before 2027

Trade
6%
6%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
1¢
N/A
$819,811
5%
14%
$284,237
4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Before October

Trade
3%
2%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$1,300,011
6%
30%
$642,781
4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Before July

View
1%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,076
N/A
N/A
$14,427
4mo 1w
No
Total markets: 6

Description

Apple typically releases new iPhone models annually, usually in September. This market tracks the release timing of the iPhone 18 to the general public. Release means the device becomes available for consumer purchase, not just announcement or pre-order.

Kalshi

If Apple Inc. releases iPhone 18 to the public before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Apple Inc. releases iPhone 18 to the public before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Apple Inc. releases iPhone 18 to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.