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79,029

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1,359

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Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?
kalshi

Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?

Dec 10, 2025, 10:00 AM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$1,262,167
Volume 24h:
$27,100
467%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$328,482
0.76%

Unusual Machines

 - Kalshi

Unusual Machines - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Unusual Machines?

23%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 27¢ buys you 370 shares | Odds: 23% Total Payout: $370 | Net Profit: $270 Multiplier: 3.70x | ROI: 270% APY not meaningful 66 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Unusual Machines

Trade
23%
4%
Yes 27¢No 76¢
3¢
N/A
$11,120
2%
N/A
$3,879
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

Neros Technologies

Trade
16%
Yes 21¢No 81¢
2¢
N/A
$9,155
0%
N/A
$2,487
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

Anduril

Trade
15%
2%
Yes 16¢No 85¢
1¢
N/A
$204,120
0.48%
N/A
$64,958
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

Micron

Trade
13%
4%
Yes 12¢No 90¢
2¢
N/A
$31,978
8%
N/A
$11,309
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

OpenAI

Trade
12%
Yes 12¢No 90¢
2¢
N/A
$95,290
0%
N/A
$28,179
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

Eli Lilly

Trade
12%
1%
Yes 14¢No 89¢
3¢
N/A
$15,994
0.69%
N/A
$5,239
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

Nvidia

Trade
11%
1%
Yes 11¢No 91¢
2¢
N/A
$60,245
0.05%
N/A
$13,295
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

IonQ

Trade
10%
Yes 11¢No 91¢
2¢
N/A
$31,551
0%
N/A
$10,350
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

Anthropic

Trade
9%
Yes 10¢No 91¢
1¢
N/A
$100,649
0.44%
N/A
$22,846
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

Lockheed Martin

Trade
8%
Yes 9¢No 94¢
3¢
N/A
$60,449
0.02%
N/A
$14,208
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

Boeing

Trade
8%
Yes 7¢No 96¢
3¢
N/A
$29,624
0%
N/A
$9,415
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

TikTok US

Trade
8%
Yes 7¢No 95¢
2¢
N/A
$10,693
0.23%
N/A
$3,346
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

Performance Drone Works

Trade
8%
1%
Yes 11¢No 91¢
2¢
N/A
$7,480
0.51%
N/A
$3,302
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

TSMC

Trade
7%
2%
Yes 8¢No 93¢
1¢
N/A
$30,535
1%
N/A
$10,684
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

Pfizer

Trade
6%
Yes 7¢No 94¢
1¢
N/A
$11,727
0%
N/A
$3,481
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

Freeport-McMoRan

Trade
6%
Yes 8¢No 95¢
3¢
N/A
$9,394
0%
N/A
$2,941
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

Palantir

Trade
5%
Yes 8¢No 95¢
3¢
N/A
$83,572
0.15%
N/A
$22,773
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

Spirit Airlines

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 99¢
2¢
N/A
$310,707
0%
N/A
$62,122
2mo 6d
active
kalshi

Rigetti Computing

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$59,987
N/A
N/A
$13,768
2mo 6d
Yes
kalshi

D-Wave Quantum

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$46,682
N/A
N/A
$10,951
2mo 6d
Yes
kalshi

GlobalFoundries

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$41,215
N/A
N/A
$8,951
2mo 6d
Yes
Total markets: 21

Description

This event tracks whether the U.S. federal government acquires equity ownership in major technology, defense, and industrial companies by January 1, 2027. Such stakes could represent strategic government investment in critical sectors including social media platforms, artificial intelligence firms, semiconductor manufacturers, and defense contractors.

Kalshi

A stake constitutes direct equity ownership, voting shares, or equivalent ownership interests, including indirect ownership through wholly controlled investment vehicles and convertible rights treated as equity. Pre-existing stakes count toward satisfaction of the criterion. Ownership is aggregated across all share classes and listings. Once the threshold is crossed at any point, the criterion is satisfied regardless of subsequent ownership changes. Non-equity instruments such as bonds or loans do not qualify. Stakes held by sovereign wealth funds or state-owned enterprises are attributed to the U.S. federal government. Ownership may be expressed as a percentage, monetary value, or share count, with percentage being the default unless otherwise specified.