TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.6b

24H VOL:

$113,284,831

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,858,735,640

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,620,345,032

79,029

Markets across

1,359

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

138

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

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Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
polymarket
predict

Will Base launch a token by ___ ?

Total volume:
$22,496,017
Volume 24h:
$8,101,912
503,412%
Liquidity:
$51,395
4%
Open interest:
$155,473N/A

December 31, 2027

 - Polymarket

December 31, 2027 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2027

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?

49%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 51¢ buys you 196 shares | Odds: 49% Total Payout: $196 | Net Profit: $96 Multiplier: 1.96x | ROI: 96% | APY: 77% 430 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

December 31, 2027

Trade
49%
Yes 51¢No 53¢
4¢
$7,021
$52,133
0.95%
N/A
N/A
1y 2mo
active
polymarket

June 30, 2027

Trade
19%
Yes 20¢No 82¢
2¢
$4,109
$27,334
0%
N/A
N/A
8mo 6d
active
predict

December 31, 2026

Trade
10%
Yes 10¢No 91¢
1¢
$18,027
$7,548,108
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

December 31, 2026

Trade
5%
Yes 5¢No 96¢
1¢
$22,238
$779,338
0.05%
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
9%
Yes 7.5¢No 93.5¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
predict

June 30, 2026

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$6,891,138
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
No
polymarket

December 31, 2025

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,891,817
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

June 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,753,239
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

September 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$552,911
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This group of markets asks whether Base, a layer-2 scaling solution for Ethereum, will launch its own token by a specified date. The markets focus on an official, publicly tradable token, excluding stablecoins, memecoins, and other derivative tokens.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms share the same core resolution criteria: an official, publicly tradable token launch by Base, with announcements not being sufficient for resolution.Primary resolution logic: Information from Base (https://x.com/base) and consensus of credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution requires an official token launch by Base.
  • The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable.
  • Announcements alone do not qualify as a token launch.
  • Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs, and synthetic tokens are excluded.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Partial Launch: If a token is announced but not fully tradable on public exchanges, the market will resolve to 'No'.
  • Delayed Launch: If the launch date is pushed back beyond the specified deadline, the market will resolve to 'No'.
  • Credible Reporting Conflict: In the event of conflicting credible reporting, the resolution will prioritize information directly from Base.
Timing: Markets will resolve upon official confirmation of a qualifying token launch by Base, or upon the expiration of the specified deadline without a launch.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Predict

This is a market on Base's official token launch date. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.