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Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
kalshi

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?

Aug 6, 2025, 7:30 PM EST - Jan 1, 2040, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$347,273
Volume 24h:
$2
94%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$81,407
0%

Anthropic

 - Kalshi

Anthropic - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2040

Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?

92%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 93¢ buys you 108 shares | Odds: 92% Total Payout: $108 | Net Profit: $8 Multiplier: 1.08x | ROI: 8% | APY: 0.54% 4875 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Anthropic

Trade
92%
Yes 93¢No 12¢
5¢
N/A
$177,709
0%
2%
$40,298
13y 4mo 1w
active
kalshi

OpenAI

Trade
14%
4%
Yes 14¢No 91¢
5¢
N/A
$169,564
0%
1%
$41,109
13y 4mo 1w
active
Total markets: 2

Description

This event tracks which artificial intelligence company reaches public markets first. OpenAI and Anthropic are both major AI firms that have been valued at billions of dollars, and an initial public offering would represent a major milestone in the commercialization of advanced AI technology.

Kalshi

The event resolves Yes if either OpenAI or Anthropic confirms an IPO before January 1, 2040. Whichever company publicly announces and completes an initial public offering first will trigger resolution. The event is structured to identify the first mover between these two leading AI companies during the specified timeframe.