TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

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Will the S&P finish positive this year?
kalshi

Will the S&P finish positive this year?

Jan 6, 2026, 10:00 AM EST - Dec 31, 2026, 7:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$989,132
Volume 24h:
$1,482
6%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$455,533
0.17%

Positive Growth

 - Kalshi

Positive Growth - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will the S&P 500 be above 6845.5 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

85%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 85¢ buys you 118 shares | Odds: 85% Total Payout: $118 | Net Profit: $18 Multiplier: 1.18x | ROI: 18% | APY: 60% 126 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Positive Growth

Trade
85%
Yes 85¢No 16¢
1¢
N/A
$989,132
0.15%
1%
$455,533
4mo 6d
active
Total markets: 1

Description

The S&P 500 index may close above 6845.50 on December 31, 2026, indicating positive growth for the year. The resolution price is taken at 4 PM EST on that date.

Kalshi

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 6845.50, then the market resolves to Yes.