TOTAL VOLUME:
$26.9b
24H VOL:
$53,643,865
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,362,287,844
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,063,853,505
56,734
Markets across
1,194
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
96
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
53%
VS.
Kalshi:
47%
J.D. Vance
- Kalshi
J.D. Vance - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2028
Latest in Elections
Will J.D. Vance be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
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Intro
This market tracks which candidate will secure the Republican Party's presidential nomination at the 2028 nominating convention. On Kalshi, J.D. Vance holds the leading probability at 40.0%, while Marco Rubio follows at 29.0%. The market resolves based on official nomination acceptance at the Republican convention. Watch the convention proceedings in 2028, as that event will determine the final nominee and settle this market.
Kalshi
If Thomas Massie wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nikki Haley wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sarah Huckabee Sanders wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Greg Abbott wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If J.D. Vance wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ron DeSantis wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Glenn Youngkin wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vivek Ramaswamy wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Donald J. Trump wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Donald J. Trump Jr. wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elon Musk wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brian Kemp wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matt Gaetz wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Byron Donalds wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elise Stefanik wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Josh Hawley wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ted Cruz wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Katie Britt wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If John Thune wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marco Rubio wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tulsi Gabbard wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kristi Noem wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mike Pence wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Steve Bannon wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Erika Kirk wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tucker Carlson wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marjorie Taylor Greene wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nicki Minaj wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tom Cotton wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rand Paul wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ivanka Trump wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Eric Trump wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pete Hegseth wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lara Trump wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Spencer Pratt wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jeff Bezos wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. If Candace Owens wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
