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2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
kalshi

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

May 10, 2025, 10:00 AM EST - Jan 21, 2029, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$62,506,910
Volume 24h:
$149,426
58%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$44,345,259
0.33%

J.D. Vance

 - Kalshi

J.D. Vance - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 21, 2029

Who will win the next presidential election?

20%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 20¢ buys you 500 shares | Odds: 20% Total Payout: $500 | Net Profit: $400 Multiplier: 5.00x | ROI: 400% | APY: 95% 878 days to resolution
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

J.D. Vance

Trade
20%
Yes 20¢No 81¢
1¢
N/A
$3,811,187
1%
4%
$2,249,676
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Marco Rubio

Trade
13%
Yes 13¢No 88¢
1¢
N/A
$4,983,009
0%
2%
$2,388,613
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Trade
13%
Yes 14¢No 87¢
1¢
N/A
$3,937,267
0.64%
9%
$2,352,499
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Jon Ossoff

Trade
11%
Yes 11¢No 90¢
1¢
N/A
$3,920,146
0.17%
3%
$2,497,971
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Gavin Newsom

Trade
9%
Yes 8.6¢No 91.6¢
0.2¢
N/A
$3,577,490
0.06%
2%
$1,688,324
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Kamala Harris

Trade
5%
Yes 4.6¢No 95.8¢
0.4¢
N/A
$2,579,822
0.18%
0.83%
$1,904,200
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Ron DeSantis

Trade
4%
Yes 3.7¢No 96.5¢
0.2¢
N/A
$2,249,167
0%
4%
$1,788,270
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Andy Beshear

Trade
4%
Yes 3.7¢No 96.6¢
0.3¢
N/A
$1,887,447
0%
3%
$1,591,789
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Pete Buttigieg

Trade
4%
Yes 3.3¢No 97.1¢
0.4¢
N/A
$2,293,136
0.03%
2%
$1,821,665
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Mark Kelly

Trade
4%
Yes 3.7¢No 96.6¢
0.3¢
N/A
$2,068,051
0.04%
2%
$1,730,311
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Donald J. Trump

Trade
3%
Yes 3.2¢No 96.9¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,351,123
0%
4%
$2,382,613
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Josh Shapiro

Trade
3%
Yes 2.8¢No 97.4¢
0.2¢
N/A
$1,867,663
0.22%
0.92%
$1,301,662
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Tucker Carlson

Trade
2%
Yes 2.6¢No 97.7¢
0.3¢
N/A
$2,568,657
0.02%
0.52%
$1,706,199
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Rahm Emanuel

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$1,690,311
3%
4%
$1,606,103
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Gretchen Whitmer

Trade
1%
Yes 1.2¢No 99.1¢
0.3¢
N/A
$2,290,763
0%
0.05%
$1,667,567
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Wes Moore

Trade
1%
Yes 1.5¢No 98.8¢
0.3¢
N/A
$2,306,104
0.04%
3%
$1,603,729
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

J.B. Pritzker

Trade
1%
Yes 1.3¢No 99¢
0.3¢
N/A
$2,278,600
0%
2%
$1,582,040
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Donald J. Trump Jr.

Trade
1%
Yes 1.1¢No 99¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,328,899
0%
2%
$1,675,986
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

James Talarico

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1,315,569
0%
1%
$1,313,613
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Thomas Massie

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$928,807
0%
15%
$840,942
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Hunter Biden

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$854,374
0%
0.24%
$813,697
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Ro Khanna

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$502,563
0%
14%
$502,563
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Tulsi Gabbard

Trade
1%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.3¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,777,806
0%
0.24%
$1,629,335
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Glenn Youngkin

Trade
0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,164,255
0.43%
2%
$950,151
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Jamie Dimon

Trade
0%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.6¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,147,685
0%
0.13%
$986,711
2y 4mo 4w
active
Total markets: 25 of 30

Intro

This market tracks which individual will be inaugurated as President of the United States for the term beginning in 2029, reflecting the outcome of the 2028 presidential election. On Kalshi, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez holds the leading probability at 18.0%, with an unnamed second outcome at 17.0%. Resolution is determined by official inauguration records. Watch the 2028 election results and the January 21, 2029 inauguration date to see how this market settles.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for whichever candidate is next inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029. Inauguration is the operative criterion—the individual must actually take the oath of office and assume the presidency, not merely win the election or be nominated. Only one person can be inaugurated for this term, so exactly one outcome will resolve to Yes.