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Alaska Governor primary: who will advance?
kalshi

Alaska Governor primary: who will advance?

Jul 3, 2025, 10:00 AM EST - Aug 31, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$469,047
Volume 24h:
$11,792N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$278,168
2%

Dave Bronson

 - Kalshi

Dave Bronson - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 31, 2026

Time left: 04d:02h:04m

Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?

97%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 96.6¢ buys you 104 shares | Odds: 97% Total Payout: $104 | Net Profit: $4 Multiplier: 1.04x | ROI: 4% High Projected APY: 2,229% 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Dave Bronson

Trade
97%
9%
Yes 96.6¢No 4.7¢
1.3¢
N/A
$78,905
8%
18%
$32,629
4d 2h 4m
active
kalshi

Treg Taylor

Trade
3%
3%
Yes 4.4¢No 97.8¢
2.2¢
N/A
$51,497
5%
9%
$27,703
4d 2h 4m
active
kalshi

Click Bishop

Trade
1%
Yes 2.5¢No 99¢
1.5¢
N/A
$25,863
0.61%
4%
$14,704
4d 2h 4m
active
kalshi

Bill Walker

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$20,732
0%
4%
$7,869
4d 2h 4m
active
kalshi

Lesil McGuire

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,822
0%
0%
$2,600
4d 2h 4m
active
kalshi

Matt Heilala

Trade
1%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,705
0%
0%
$7,376
4d 2h 4m
active
kalshi

Matthew Claman

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14,182
0%
0.35%
$6,426
4d 2h 4m
active
kalshi

Shelley Hughes

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 100¢
0.2¢
N/A
$14,141
0%
0.28%
$11,770
4d 2h 4m
active
kalshi

Nancy Dahlstrom

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12,868
0%
0.05%
$7,568
4d 2h 4m
active
kalshi

Adam Crum

Trade
0%
Yes 0.5¢No 100¢
0.5¢
N/A
$46,974
4%
5%
$35,901
4d 2h 4m
active
kalshi

Mary Peltola

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25,547
0%
0%
$18,819
4d 2h 4m
active
kalshi

Lisa Murkowski

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,251
0%
0%
$1,758
4d 2h 4m
active
kalshi

Edna DeVries

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,344
0%
0%
$1,143
4d 2h 4m
active
kalshi

Bernadette Wilson

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$70,377
N/A
N/A
$42,581
4d 2h 4m
Yes
kalshi

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$48,276
N/A
N/A
$30,787
4d 2h 4m
Yes
kalshi

Tom Begich

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40,561
N/A
N/A
$28,533
4d 2h 4m
Yes
Total markets: 16

Description

This event tracks which candidates will secure a spot in the general election for Alaska Governor following the 2026 primary. Voters in Alaska will narrow down the field to a top-four list of contenders, and this event focuses on predicting which specific individuals will make that cut.

Kalshi

The event resolves positively if any of the listed candidates—Click Bishop, Nancy Dahlstrom, Edna DeVries, Bernadette Wilson, Adam Crum, Treg Taylor, Tom Begich, Mary Peltola, Dave Bronson, Shelley Hughes, Matt Heilala, Matthew Claman, Lisa Murkowski, Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, Bill Walker, or Lesil McGuire—advance to the general election from Alaska's top-four primary for Governor in 2026. Each candidate has an individual primary rule specifying that if they are among the top four vote recipients in the primary, the market will resolve to Yes. No other conditions or outcomes are considered; the focus is solely on advancement to the general election by any of the named candidates through the primary process.