TOTAL VOLUME:

$41.6b

24H VOL:

$113,284,831

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,858,735,640

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,620,345,032

79,029

Markets across

1,359

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

138

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

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Economics
Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
⌛Ending SoonTrending
kalshi

Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?

Oct 13, 2025, 10:00 AM EST - Oct 28, 2026, 9:29 AM EST
Total volume:
$594,874
Volume 24h:
$39,345
419%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$255,518
11%

Hike 25bps

 - Kalshi

Hike 25bps - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 28, 2026

Time left: 01d:03h:47m

Will Bank of Canada maintain the current rate at their October 2026 meeting?

17%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 18¢ buys you 556 shares | Odds: 17% Total Payout: $556 | Net Profit: $456 Multiplier: 5.56x | ROI: 456% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hike 25bps

Trending
Trade
83%
1%
Yes 84¢No 17¢
1¢
N/A
$239,593
8%
N/A
$125,405
1d 3h 47m
active
kalshi

Maintains rate

Trending
17%
1%
Yes 18¢No 83¢
1¢
N/A
$319,341
5%
N/A
$102,406
1d 3h 47m
active
kalshi

Hike >25bps

2%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$5,345
0%
N/A
$5,170
1d 3h 47m
active
kalshi

Cut 25bps

1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$24,213
0.14%
N/A
$16,156
1d 3h 47m
active
kalshi

Cut >25bps

1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$6,381
0%
N/A
$6,381
1d 3h 47m
active
Total markets: 5

Description

Market participants will watch the Bank of Canada's policy decision in late October 2026 to see whether it will lower, keep unchanged, or raise its key interest rate, with different markets focused on specific magnitudes of potential changes.

Kalshi

Markets resolve based on the specific action taken by the Bank of Canada at its October 28, 2026 meeting: cutting rates by more than 25 basis points, cutting by exactly 25 basis points, maintaining the current rate, hiking by 25 basis points, or hiking by more than 25 basis points. Each market corresponds to one of these five possible outcomes.