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Elections
Blue tsunami in 2026?
kalshi

Blue tsunami in 2026?

Dec 16, 2025, 11:00 AM EST - Feb 1, 2027, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$372,253
Volume 24h:
$8,603N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$197,759
4%

Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate?

 - Kalshi

Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate? - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Feb 1, 2027

Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms?

39%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 41¢ buys you 244 shares | Odds: 39% Total Payout: $244 | Net Profit: $144 Multiplier: 2.44x | ROI: 144% High Projected APY: 684% 158 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate?

Trade
39%
Yes 41¢No 61¢
N/A
$372,253
2%
8%
$197,759
5mo 1w 1d
active
Total markets: 1

Description

This event measures whether Democrats will achieve an even more substantial electoral victory in 2026 by gaining additional House seats and Senate representation beyond a simple majority. A "blue tsunami" would represent a decisive Democratic mandate across both chambers.

Kalshi

If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.