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Elections
Blue wave in 2026?
kalshi

Blue wave in 2026?

Dec 12, 2025, 10:00 AM EST - Feb 1, 2027, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$421,947
Volume 24h:
$1,776
67%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$241,956
0.64%

Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?

 - Kalshi

Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate? - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Feb 1, 2027

Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms?

76%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 76¢ buys you 132 shares | Odds: 76% Total Payout: $132 | Net Profit: $32 Multiplier: 1.32x | ROI: 32% | APY: 89% 156 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?

Trade
76%
Yes 76¢No 25¢
N/A
$421,947
0.42%
4%
$241,956
5mo 6d
active
Total markets: 1

Description

This event tracks whether Democrats will achieve significant gains in the 2026 midterm elections by securing control of the House with a working majority and maintaining strong Senate representation. A "blue wave" would indicate substantial Democratic electoral success across both chambers of Congress.

Kalshi

If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.