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1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

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1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Feb 11, 2026, 5:50 PM EST - Oct 3, 2026, 8:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$5,344,424
Volume 24h:
$26,316
15%
Liquidity:
$1,866,427
21%
Open interest:
$215,166N/A

Flávio Bolsonaro

 - Polymarket

Flávio Bolsonaro - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 4, 2026

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

88%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 88¢ buys you 114 shares | Odds: 88% Total Payout: $114 | Net Profit: $14 Multiplier: 1.14x | ROI: 14% | APY: 241% 37 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Flávio Bolsonaro

Trade
88%
Yes 88¢No 13¢
1¢
$87,898
$384,147
2%
25%
N/A
1mo 1w
active
polymarket

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Trade
9%
1%
Yes 9.3¢No 91.2¢
0.5¢
$121,248
$307,321
0.65%
13%
N/A
1mo 1w
active
polymarket

Renan Santos

Trade
3%
Yes 2.9¢No 97.2¢
0.1¢
$115,407
$1,143,882
0.1%
2%
N/A
1mo 1w
active
polymarket

Ronaldo Caiado

Trade
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
0.1¢
$102,751
$385,392
0%
5%
N/A
1mo 1w
active
polymarket

Person M

Trade
0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.9¢
0.3¢
$81,171
$37,646
0%
0%
N/A
1mo 1w
active
polymarket

Fernando Haddad

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$142,201
$765,600
0.15%
3%
N/A
1mo 1w
active
polymarket

Ratinho Júnior

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$133,358
$702,256
0.19%
3%
N/A
1mo 1w
active
polymarket

Romeu Zema

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$114,683
$334,449
0.35%
6%
N/A
1mo 1w
active
polymarket

Tarcisio de Freitas

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$90,603
$229,863
0.55%
9%
N/A
1mo 1w
active
polymarket

Geraldo Alckmin

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$108,800
$182,819
0.54%
11%
N/A
1mo 1w
active
polymarket

Michelle Bolsonaro

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$114,730
$171,747
0.73%
12%
N/A
1mo 1w
active
polymarket

Camilo Santana

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$126,550
$159,472
0%
24%
N/A
1mo 1w
active
polymarket

Jair Bolsonaro

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$92,081
$159,047
0.75%
13%
N/A
1mo 1w
active
polymarket

Eduardo Bolsonaro

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$102,870
$131,085
0.97%
16%
N/A
1mo 1w
active
polymarket

Eduardo Leite

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$113,006
$100,221
1%
23%
N/A
1mo 1w
active
polymarket

Aldo Rebelo

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$110,869
$92,993
1%
25%
N/A
1mo 1w
active
polymarket

Tereza Cristina

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$46,300
$35,511
0%
0.02%
N/A
1mo 1w
active
polymarket

Helder Barbalho

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$61,902
$20,972
0%
0%
N/A
1mo 1w
active
Total markets: 18

Description

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Polymarket

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).