TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

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Brazil Presidential election winner?
kalshi

Brazil Presidential election winner?

Jan 11, 2025, 10:00 AM EST - Oct 25, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$3,209,822
Volume 24h:
$10,961
38%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$1,668,361
0.33%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

 - Kalshi

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 25, 2026

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

62%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 62¢ buys you 161 shares | Odds: 62% Total Payout: $161 | Net Profit: $61 Multiplier: 1.61x | ROI: 61% High Projected APY: 1,825% 59 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Trade
62%
Yes 62¢No 39¢
1¢
N/A
$611,760
0.74%
3%
$248,606
1mo 4w 1d
active
kalshi

Flávio Bolsonaro

Trade
39%
Yes 39¢No 62¢
1¢
N/A
$744,653
0.46%
2%
$285,075
1mo 4w 1d
active
kalshi

Renan Santos

Trade
2%
Yes 2.9¢No 98.9¢
1.8¢
N/A
$611,895
0.33%
5%
$430,323
1mo 4w 1d
active
kalshi

Ciro Gomes

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$51
0%
0%
$51
1mo 4w 1d
active
kalshi

Romeu Zema

Trade
1%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.9¢
0.6¢
N/A
$302,000
0.34%
5%
$146,809
1mo 4w 1d
active
kalshi

Jair Bolsonaro

Trade
0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
0.1¢
N/A
$159,037
0%
0%
$141,007
1mo 4w 1d
active
kalshi

Fernando Haddad

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
N/A
$177,200
0%
0%
$113,966
1mo 4w 1d
active
kalshi

Tarcísio de Freitas

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
0.1¢
N/A
$222,897
0%
0%
$80,151
1mo 4w 1d
active
kalshi

Ronaldo Caiado

Trade
0%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.8¢
0.3¢
N/A
$181,948
0%
7%
$95,721
1mo 4w 1d
active
kalshi

Ratinho Júnior

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
0.1¢
N/A
$87,397
0%
0%
$44,639
1mo 4w 1d
active
kalshi

Michelle Bolsonaro

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
N/A
$76,124
0%
0%
$49,141
1mo 4w 1d
active
kalshi

Aldo Rebelo

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
0.1¢
N/A
$33,631
0%
0%
$31,695
1mo 4w 1d
active
kalshi

Eduardo Bolsonaro

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,230
0%
0%
$1,177
1mo 4w 1d
active
Total markets: 13

Description

Brazil will hold its next presidential election in 2026. The winner will be the candidate who receives the most votes and meets constitutional requirements to assume the presidency.

Kalshi

Each candidate's electoral victory triggers a Yes resolution for its corresponding market. The event resolves based on which candidate wins the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, with exactly one candidate ultimately claiming the presidency.