TOTAL VOLUME:

$27.2b

24H VOL:

$75,165,326

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,095,709,366

58,436

Markets across

1,256

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

98

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

BETA
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Elections
Florida Senate winner?
kalshi

Florida Senate winner?

Dec 4, 2024, 10:00 AM EST - Jan 4, 2027, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$408,782
Volume 24h:
$23,285
42%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$306,955
8%

Ashley Moody

 - Kalshi

Ashley Moody - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 4, 2027

Will Republicans win the Senate race in Florida?

94%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 92.6¢ buys you 108 shares | Odds: 94% Total Payout: $108 | Net Profit: $8 Multiplier: 1.08x | ROI: 8% | APY: 24% 129 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ashley Moody

Trade
94%
3%
Yes 92.6¢No 7.5¢
0.1¢
N/A
$155,931
5%
N/A
$115,451
4mo 1w 2d
active
kalshi

Angie Nixon

8%
Yes 8.1¢No 92.7¢
0.8¢
N/A
$252,852
7%
N/A
$191,504
4mo 1w 2d
active
Total markets: 2

Description

This event tracks the political outcome of the 2026 Florida Senate election, focusing on which major party will secure the seat for the term starting in 2027. The result depends on the party affiliation of the individual officially sworn into office following the election. Media projections may allow for an earlier resolution if a clear winner emerges before the formal swearing-in.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the party affiliation of the individual sworn in as Florida Senator for the term beginning in 2027. If a Republican is sworn in, the market for Ashley Moody resolves to Yes. Conversely, if a Democrat is sworn in, the market for Angie Nixon resolves to Yes. Both markets are eligible for accelerated determination once a consensus of media organizations projects a clear winner, allowing for resolution prior to the official swearing-in ceremony. The final outcome is contingent upon the formal certification of election results and the subsequent oath of office taken by the elected official.