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How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
kalshi

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

Dec 30, 2025, 10:00 AM EST - Feb 1, 2027, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$1,318,249
Volume 24h:
$19,366
24%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$994,633
2%

230-233

 - Kalshi

230-233 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Feb 1, 2027

Will the Democratic party win 230-233 House seats in the 120th Congress?

13%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 13¢ buys you 769 shares | Odds: 13% Total Payout: $769 | Net Profit: $669 Multiplier: 7.69x | ROI: 669% APY not meaningful 158 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

230-233

Trade
13%
Yes 13¢No 88¢
1¢
N/A
$72,853
0.78%
12%
$48,493
5mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

226-229

Trade
12%
Yes 12¢No 89¢
1¢
N/A
$81,733
0.5%
5%
$64,902
5mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

234-237

Trade
12%
Yes 12¢No 89¢
1¢
N/A
$70,334
0.81%
15%
$52,438
5mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Above 249

Trade
11%
Yes 11¢No 90¢
1¢
N/A
$219,899
3%
8%
$162,253
5mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

238-241

Trade
10%
Yes 9.6¢No 90.5¢
0.1¢
N/A
$68,514
0.79%
13%
$47,343
5mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

222-225

Trade
9%
Yes 9.3¢No 91.7¢
1¢
N/A
$66,273
0.71%
4%
$44,804
5mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

214-217

Trade
8%
Yes 8.1¢No 92.3¢
0.4¢
N/A
$154,944
7%
42%
$130,663
5mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Below 210

Trade
8%
1%
Yes 6.9¢No 93.4¢
0.3¢
N/A
$225,576
0.02%
17%
$182,269
5mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

218-221

Trade
8%
Yes 7.5¢No 93.1¢
0.6¢
N/A
$81,264
0.2%
10%
$50,843
5mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

242-245

Trade
7%
Yes 7.1¢No 93¢
0.1¢
N/A
$67,638
0%
4%
$42,896
5mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

210-213

Trade
6%
Yes 6.2¢No 94.5¢
0.7¢
N/A
$151,196
0%
25%
$126,594
5mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

246-249

Trade
5%
Yes 5.3¢No 94.9¢
0.2¢
N/A
$58,025
0.44%
3%
$41,134
5mo 1w 1d
active
Total markets: 12

Description

This market tracks the total number of Democratic Party seats in the U.S. House of Representatives following the 2026 midterm elections. The count includes all Democrats and individuals who caucus with the Democratic Party, measured as of February 1, 2027.

Kalshi

Democratic House seat totals are measured on February 1, 2027, with outcomes segmented into ranges: below 210, 210-213, 214-217, 218-221, 222-225, 226-229, 230-233, 234-237, 238-241, 242-245, 246-249, and above 249 seats. Individuals caucusing with the Democratic Party are included in the count. Each outcome range resolves to Yes if the Democratic Party holds a number of seats within that specific range on the resolution date.