TOTAL VOLUME:
$26.9b
24H VOL:
$53,643,865
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,362,287,844
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,063,853,505
56,734
Markets across
1,194
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
96
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
53%
VS.
Kalshi:
47%
June 30, 2027
- Polymarket
June 30, 2027 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Jul 1, 2027
Latest in Politics
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
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Intro
This market tracks whether Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei will cease to be the de facto leader of Iran by June 30, 2027. On Polymarket, the probability of a leadership change by that date stands at 30.5%, while an earlier resolution by December 31, 2026 is priced at 20.5%. Resolution will be determined by credible reporting of Khamenei's removal from power, detention, or loss of position. Watch for any official announcements of resignation or removal, which would qualify for immediate resolution regardless of the effective date of departure.
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
