TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

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Michigan Senate winner? (Person)
kalshi

Michigan Senate winner? (Person)

May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 2:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$1,624,472
Volume 24h:
$13,796
11%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$1,060,449
0.97%

Abdul El-Sayed

 - Kalshi

Abdul El-Sayed - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?

62%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 62¢ buys you 161 shares | Odds: 62% Total Payout: $161 | Net Profit: $61 Multiplier: 1.61x | ROI: 61% High Projected APY: 1,201% 68 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Abdul El-Sayed

Trade
62%
2%
Yes 62¢No 39¢
1¢
N/A
$683,680
0.65%
7%
$402,243
2mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Mike Rogers

Trade
39%
Yes 39¢No 62¢
1¢
N/A
$745,778
1%
10%
$552,613
2mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Haley Stevens

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$186,971
0%
1%
$99,198
2mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Mallory McMorrow

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$8,043
0.12%
6%
$6,395
2mo 1w 1d
active
Total markets: 4

Description

Michigan will hold a U.S. Senate election in 2026 to fill a seat in the upper chamber of Congress. This market tracks which candidate wins that election, with separate markets for each major candidate.

Kalshi

Each candidate market resolves to Yes if that candidate wins the 2026 Michigan Senate general election. To qualify, a candidate must secure their party's nomination; failure to do so results in immediate No resolution for that market. Resolution is based on a consensus projection by major media organizations, which may trigger accelerated determination before official certification.