TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Tour
All
Elections
Next French presidential election winner?
kalshi

Next French presidential election winner?

Feb 14, 2025, 10:00 AM EST - May 31, 2027, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$299,616
Volume 24h:
$2,546
231%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$160,121
2%

Marine Le Pen

 - Kalshi

Marine Le Pen - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves May 31, 2027

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

37%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 37¢ buys you 270 shares | Odds: 37% Total Payout: $270 | Net Profit: $170 Multiplier: 2.70x | ROI: 170% | APY: 271% 277 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Marine Le Pen

Trade
37%
1%
Yes 37¢No 64¢
N/A
$97,572
0.02%
3%
$55,547
9mo 1w
active
kalshi

Édouard Philippe

21%
4%
Yes 25¢No 78¢
N/A
$26,291
0.33%
2%
$10,050
9mo 1w
active
kalshi

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

16%
4%
Yes 14¢No 88¢
N/A
$17,037
17%
22%
$12,516
9mo 1w
active
kalshi

Gérald Darmanin

6%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.8¢
0.6¢
N/A
$95
0%
0%
$95
9mo 1w
active
kalshi

Bernard Cazeneuve

6%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.8¢
0.7¢
N/A
$59
0%
0%
$59
9mo 1w
active
kalshi

François Hollande

5%
Yes No 95¢
N/A
$30,921
0%
0%
$24,166
9mo 1w
active
kalshi

François Bayrou

5%
Yes 1.3¢No 99.8¢
1.1¢
N/A
$1,013
0%
0%
$1,013
9mo 1w
active
kalshi

Bruno Retailleau

3%
Yes 3.3¢No 99.8¢
3.1¢
N/A
$3,323
0%
0%
$3,095
9mo 1w
active
kalshi

Sarah Knafo

3%
Yes 2.8¢No 98.1¢
0.9¢
N/A
$1,176
0%
0%
$371
9mo 1w
active
kalshi

Jordan Bardella

3%
Yes 7.2¢No 97¢
4.2¢
N/A
$75,157
0%
0.47%
$26,482
9mo 1w
active
kalshi

Sébastien Lecornu

2%
Yes 2.3¢No 99.8¢
2.1¢
N/A
$2,246
0%
0%
$2,196
9mo 1w
active
kalshi

François Ruffin

2%
Yes 1.7¢No 99.5¢
1.2¢
N/A
$2,540
0%
0%
$1,470
9mo 1w
active
kalshi

Éric Zemmour

2%
Yes 1.8¢No 99.8¢
1.6¢
N/A
$1,782
0%
0%
$1,782
9mo 1w
active
kalshi

Dominique de Villepin

1%
Yes 4.3¢No 98.9¢
3.2¢
N/A
$6,856
0%
0.81%
$4,029
9mo 1w
active
kalshi

Olivier Faure

1%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.8¢
0.7¢
N/A
$101
0%
0%
$101
9mo 1w
active
kalshi

Yaël Braun-Pivet

1%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.8¢
0.6¢
N/A
$24
0%
0%
$14
9mo 1w
active
kalshi

Carole Delga

1%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.8¢
0.4¢
N/A
$8
0%
0%
$8
9mo 1w
active
kalshi

Xavier Bertrand

1%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.8¢
0.3¢
N/A
$3
0%
0%
$3
9mo 1w
active
kalshi

Michel Barnier

1%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.8¢
0.3¢
N/A
$2
0%
0%
$2
9mo 1w
active
kalshi

Bruno Le Maire

1%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.8¢
0.3¢
N/A
$2
0%
0%
$2
9mo 1w
active
kalshi

Mathilde Panot

1%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.8¢
0.3¢
N/A
$2
0%
0%
$2
9mo 1w
active
kalshi

Valérie Pécresse

1%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.8¢
0.4¢
N/A
$1
0%
0%
$1
9mo 1w
active
kalshi

Laurent Wauquiez

1%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.8¢
0.4¢
N/A
$1
0%
0%
$1
9mo 1w
active
kalshi

Élisabeth Borne

1%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.8¢
0.3¢
N/A
$1
0%
0%
$1
9mo 1w
active
kalshi

Manuel Bompard

1%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.8¢
0.6¢
N/A
$2,264
0%
0%
$2,264
9mo 1w
active
Total markets: 25 of 28

Description

This event tracks the potential outcomes of the 2027 French presidential election by focusing on a range of political figures. Each market corresponds to a specific candidate, and the resolution depends on whether that individual ultimately wins the election. The structure allows for assessment of various candidates' viability and public support over the election cycle.

Kalshi

The event consists of multiple markets, each dedicated to a different candidate who might win the next French presidential election in 2027. For any given market, if the respective candidate listed in that market’s primary rule is declared the winner of the election, the market resolves to Yes. If any other candidate wins the election, all markets resolve to No. There are no additional secondary conditions affecting resolution beyond the outright victory of the named candidate in each market. The outcome of each market is binary—either the specified candidate wins (Yes) or they do not (No), with all markets evaluated simultaneously based on the final election result.