TOTAL VOLUME:
$26.9b
24H VOL:
$53,643,865
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,362,287,844
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,063,853,505
56,734
Markets across
1,194
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
96
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
53%
VS.
Kalshi:
47%
Darline Graham, 3-6%
- Kalshi
Darline Graham, 3-6% - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolves Aug 25, 2027
Latest in Elections
Will the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff be between 3% and 6%?
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Description
The 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff will determine the party's nominee for the Senate seat. This event focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Darline Graham or Ralph Norman, the two candidates in the runoff, by categorizing the difference in their vote shares into specific percentage ranges.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on the margin of victory for either Darline Graham or Ralph Norman in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff, categorized into specific percentage ranges. The margin of victory is calculated as the vote share of the winning candidate minus the vote share of the runner-up; if a candidate loses, the margin is negative, and a tie results in a zero margin. Each market corresponds to a specific margin range for one of the candidates, with ranges defined as inclusive of the lower bound and exclusive of the upper bound, and no rounding applied. If a candidate appears on the ballot under multiple parties or listings, all votes for that candidate are summed. The ranges for Darline Graham are 0-3%, 3-6%, 6-9%, 9-12%, 12-15%, 15-18%, 18-21%, 21-24%, and 24-100%, while Ralph Norman's ranges are identical. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the actual margin falls within the specified range for the relevant candidate; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'.
