TOTAL VOLUME:

$27.2b

24H VOL:

$75,165,326

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,095,709,366

58,436

Markets across

1,256

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

98

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

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Texas Senate winner?
kalshi

Texas Senate winner?

Dec 3, 2024, 10:00 AM EST - Jan 4, 2027, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$9,776,606
Volume 24h:
$65,755
54%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$6,648,536
0.89%

Ken Paxton

 - Kalshi

Ken Paxton - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 4, 2027

Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas?

51%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 51¢ buys you 196 shares | Odds: 51% Total Payout: $196 | Net Profit: $96 Multiplier: 1.96x | ROI: 96% High Projected APY: 572% 129 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ken Paxton

Trade
51%
Yes 51¢No 50¢
1¢
N/A
$5,608,269
0.93%
9%
$3,886,825
4mo 1w 2d
active
kalshi

James Talarico

Trade
50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
1¢
N/A
$4,168,337
0.33%
7%
$2,761,711
4mo 1w 2d
active
Total markets: 2

Description

Texas will hold a U.S. Senate election in 2026 to fill a seat for the term beginning in 2027. The outcome will be determined by which party's candidate wins the general election and is subsequently sworn in as Senator.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by which party affiliation the individual sworn in as Senator of Texas for the 2027 term represents. A Republican party representative being sworn in resolves one outcome to Yes, while a Democratic party representative being sworn in resolves a different outcome to Yes.