TOTAL VOLUME:
$26.9b
24H VOL:
$53,643,865
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,362,287,844
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,063,853,505
56,734
Markets across
1,194
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
96
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
53%
VS.
Kalshi:
47%
$
This event tracks the political affiliation of the individual who will represent Texas's 15th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives beginning in 2027. The outcome depends on whether the elected official belongs to either major political party. The event reflects broader electoral dynamics and party strength in that specific district.
The event determines the political party affiliation of the individual sworn in as the U.S. House representative for Texas's 15th district for the term starting in 2027. If the elected official is a member of the Democratic Party, the market resolves to Yes under Rule 1. Conversely, if the elected official is a member of the Republican Party, the market resolves to Yes under Rule 2. No other party affiliations or scenarios are considered in resolving this event. The outcome is solely based on the party membership of the individual who takes office in January 2027 following the 2026 elections.