TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

BETA
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Elections
TX-15 House winner?
kalshi

TX-15 House winner?

Jul 1, 2025, 5:00 PM EST - Jan 4, 2027, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$1,173,782
Volume 24h:
$66,520
5,091%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$646,141
8%

Bobby Pulido

 - Kalshi

Bobby Pulido - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 4, 2027

Will Democratic win the House race for TX-15?

53%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 53¢ buys you 189 shares | Odds: 53% Total Payout: $189 | Net Profit: $89 Multiplier: 1.89x | ROI: 89% | APY: 494% 130 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bobby Pulido

Trade
53%
1%
Yes 53¢No 48¢
N/A
$404,305
1%
2%
$256,020
4mo 1w 3d
active
kalshi

Monica De La Cruz

48%
1%
Yes 48¢No 53¢
N/A
$769,477
9%
9%
$390,121
4mo 1w 3d
active
Total markets: 2

Description

This event tracks the political affiliation of the individual who will represent Texas's 15th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives beginning in 2027. The outcome depends on whether the elected official belongs to either major political party. The event reflects broader electoral dynamics and party strength in that specific district.

Kalshi

The event determines the political party affiliation of the individual sworn in as the U.S. House representative for Texas's 15th district for the term starting in 2027. If the elected official is a member of the Democratic Party, the market resolves to Yes under Rule 1. Conversely, if the elected official is a member of the Republican Party, the market resolves to Yes under Rule 2. No other party affiliations or scenarios are considered in resolving this event. The outcome is solely based on the party membership of the individual who takes office in January 2027 following the 2026 elections.