TOTAL VOLUME:

$26.9b

24H VOL:

$53,643,865

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

Markets across

1,194

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

96

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

53%

VS.

Kalshi:

47%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Tour
All
Politics
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
polymarket

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Jun 22, 2026, 10:49 PM EST - Sep 30, 2026, 7:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$5,268,998
Volume 24h:
$80,617
5%
Liquidity:
$1,049,877
66%
Open interest:
$236,334N/A

No Meeting by September 30

 - Polymarket

No Meeting by September 30 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 30, 2026

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

79%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 78.9¢ buys you 127 shares | Odds: 79% Total Payout: $127 | Net Profit: $27 Multiplier: 1.27x | ROI: 27% High Projected APY: 1,173% 34 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

No Meeting by September 30

Trade
79%
4%
Yes 78.9¢No 21.2¢
0.1¢
$102,955
$1,045,687
4%
25%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
polymarket

Switzerland

9%
1%
Yes No 92¢
$81,175
$512,425
1%
5%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
polymarket

Pakistan

6%
4%
Yes 6.2¢No 94¢
0.2¢
$72,582
$302,626
2%
6%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
polymarket

Qatar

4%
Yes 4.5¢No 96¢
0.5¢
$51,852
$655,707
0.35%
2%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
polymarket

Oman

1%
Yes 1.2¢No 99.2¢
0.4¢
$47,039
$382,776
0.7%
2%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
polymarket

Austria

1%
Yes 1.2¢No 99.6¢
0.8¢
$51,030
$285,790
1%
4%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
polymarket

Turkey

1%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.7¢
0.4¢
$53,663
$82,207
2%
7%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
polymarket

Egypt

0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.9¢
0.2¢
$45,137
$81,911
0%
10%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
polymarket

Other

0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$51,653
$612,335
0.21%
0.9%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
polymarket

Italy

0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$73,709
$146,279
3%
6%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
polymarket

Other - Middle East/North Africa

0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$64,543
$118,263
2%
8%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
polymarket

Saudi Arabia

0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$82,310
$94,242
6%
10%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
polymarket

Other - Europe

0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$58,394
$93,074
1%
13%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
polymarket

USA

0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$65,588
$75,128
2%
10%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
polymarket

Russia

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$32,165
$202,244
2%
6%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
polymarket

Iran

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$29,963
$196,166
0%
0.26%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
polymarket

Kazakhstan

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$22,306
$185,960
0%
1%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
polymarket

Iraq

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$22,128
$106,714
0%
5%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
polymarket

UAE

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
$41,685
$89,464
0%
0%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
Total markets: 19

Description

On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks). This market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments. Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time. Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round. Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. If a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins. If the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa.” If the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe.” For purposes of this market, countries’ regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa. If the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to “Other.” If no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by September 30.” The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Polymarket

On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks). This market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments. Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time. Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round. Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. If a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins. If the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa.” If the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe.” For purposes of this market, countries’ regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa. If the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to “Other.” If no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by September 30.” The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.