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56,734
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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Kalshi:
47%
United Russia (ER)
- Polymarket
United Russia (ER) - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolves Sep 20, 2026
Latest in Politics
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
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Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
Intro
This market tracks which political party will gain the most seats in Russia's next State Duma election. On Polymarket, United Russia (ER) holds a 56.0% probability of gaining the most seats, while New People (NL) stands at 37.0%. Resolution will be determined by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation and credible reporting consensus. Watch for the September 2026 parliamentary election date, as results must be definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET to avoid an "Other" resolution.
Polymarket
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
