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Which party will win the U.S. House?
kalshi

Which party will win the U.S. House?

Nov 6, 2024, 10:00 AM EST - Feb 1, 2027, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$26,143,874
Volume 24h:
$126,267
86%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$16,579,814
0.45%

Democratic Party

 - Kalshi

Democratic Party - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Feb 1, 2027

Will Democrats win the House in 2026?

84%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 85¢ buys you 118 shares | Odds: 84% Total Payout: $118 | Net Profit: $18 Multiplier: 1.18x | ROI: 18% | APY: 46% 157 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Democratic Party

Trade
84%
1%
Yes 85¢No 16¢
1¢
N/A
$9,737,018
0.6%
3%
$6,125,165
5mo 1w
active
kalshi

Republican Party

Trade
15%
Yes 16¢No 85¢
1¢
N/A
$16,406,856
0.42%
17%
$10,454,649
5mo 1w
active
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks which party will control the U.S. House of Representatives after the 2026 midterm elections. On Kalshi, Democrats winning the House is priced at 82.0%, while Republicans winning stands at 18.0%. The market resolves based on which party's leadership holds the Speaker of the House position, as determined on February 1, 2027, the official control-determination date. Watch the 2026 midterm election results on election night for the initial signal of which party will ultimately hold the Speaker position.

Kalshi

If the Democratic Party has won control of the House in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Republican Party has won control of the House in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.