TOTAL VOLUME:
$26.9b
24H VOL:
$53,643,865
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,362,287,844
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,063,853,505
56,734
Markets across
1,194
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
96
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
53%
VS.
Kalshi:
47%
Louisiana
- Polymarket
Louisiana - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Dec 31, 2026
Latest in Politics
Will Donald Trump visit Louisiana in 2026?
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Description
This event group tracks whether Donald Trump will physically visit each of the 50 US states between January 1 and December 31, 2026. A visit is defined as Trump entering the terrestrial territory of the state, with resolution based on official government or Trump communications, or credible reporting consensus.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets use the same core definition of a visit (physical entry into the state) and rely on the same primary resolution sources (official government/Trump communications or credible reporting consensus).Primary resolution logic: Official US government information, Trump's official communications, or consensus of credible reportingCore resolution logic:
- A visit is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the state between January 1 and December 31, 2026
- Resolution occurs on January 1, 2027 after all potential visits have concluded
- Markets resolve based on official US government information, Trump's official communications, or consensus of credible reporting
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Airspace Only: Trump flying over a state without landing does not count as a visit
- Partial Entry: Even brief physical entry into the state (e.g., driving through) counts as a visit
Polymarket
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on the exact count of distinct U.S. states Donald Trump visits in July 2026, following VISITAREA rules for travel verification. If Trump's travel matches any of the specified numbers—from 1 to 11 states—the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Each primary rule defines a unique outcome corresponding to a specific state count, and the secondary rules provide clarity on categorization and labeling, ensuring consistent evaluation against the stated criteria.
