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24H TRANSACTIONS:

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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,063,853,505

56,734

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Politics
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
polymarket

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

Feb 17, 2026, 11:25 AM EST - Jun 30, 2027, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$3,568,514
Volume 24h:
$30,309
2%
Liquidity:
$181,969
34%
Open interest:
$642,743N/A

June 30, 2027

 - Polymarket

June 30, 2027 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jul 1, 2027

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?

35%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 36¢ buys you 278 shares | Odds: 35% Total Payout: $278 | Net Profit: $178 Multiplier: 2.78x | ROI: 178% | APY: 236% 307 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

June 30, 2027

Trade
35%
Yes 36¢No 67¢
$9,643
$47,375
0%
0.21%
N/A
10mo 1w
active
polymarket

December 31

6%
Yes No 95¢
$88,377
$847,217
0.01%
4%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

September 30

1%
Yes 1.2¢No 98.9¢
0.1¢
$83,950
$1,072,258
3%
7%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
polymarket

July 15

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$1,559,550
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

March 31

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$27,034
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

February 28

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$15,081
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.