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Politics
Will the federal gas tax be suspended?
kalshi

Will the federal gas tax be suspended?

May 10, 2026, 6:30 PM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$341,823
Volume 24h:
$50,530
722%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$199,014
33%

Before Jan 1, 2027

 - Kalshi

Before Jan 1, 2027 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will legislation that would temporarily suspend or reduce the federal excise tax on gasoline become law before Jan 1, 2027?

14%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 14¢ buys you 714 shares | Odds: 14% Total Payout: $714 | Net Profit: $614 Multiplier: 7.14x | ROI: 614% APY not meaningful 127 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Before Jan 1, 2027

Trade
14%
2%
Yes 14¢No 87¢
N/A
$201,446
33%
41%
$137,294
4mo 1w
active
kalshi

Before Jul 1, 2026

1%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$140,377
N/A
N/A
$61,719
4mo 1w
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event tracks whether Congress will pass and the President will sign legislation that temporarily suspends or reduces the federal excise tax on gasoline. Such legislation would lower the per-gallon tax that funds federal highway infrastructure, potentially providing temporary relief at the pump for consumers.

Kalshi

The event resolves Yes if legislation temporarily suspending or reducing the federal excise tax on gasoline becomes law at any point before January 1, 2027. For passage requirements, bills must clear the full chamber (not merely committee) in both the House and Senate. To become law, legislation must be signed by the President or pass through veto override; presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated equivalently to bills. The market resolves based on the first occurrence of the specified milestone, meaning once qualifying legislation becomes law, the event resolves Yes regardless of any subsequent legislative action.